THIRD C20C WORKSHOP AGENDA

Monday, 19 April 2004

0900-0910     Molteni, F. - Welcome to ICTP

0910-0920     Folland, C. - Short Introduction to the Workshop

0920-0945     Kinter, J. - History and Overview of the International Climate of the Twentieth Century Project

SESSION 1: C20C AGCM Integrations   (Chair: Royer)

0945-1015   Grainger, S., C. S. Frederiksen and J. M. Sisson (Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre - Australia): Forcing BAM with HADISST1.1 for the period 1948-2002

Break

1045-1115    Xu, Y., Y. Luo, X. Gao, Z. Zhao and Y. Ding (China Meteorological Administration - China): Climate Simulations of the 20th Century by using NCC/IAP T63 AOGCM

1115-1145   Marengo, J. and T. Ambrizzi (CPTEC and University of Sao Paulo - Brazil): TBD

1145-1215   Molteni, F., F. Kucharski and A. Bracco (International Centre for Theoretical Physics - Italy): C20C Simulations at ICTP: Overview and Analysis of Teleconnections

1215-1400   Lunch

SESSION 1 (continued): C20C AGCM Integrations   (Chair: Molteni)

1400-1430   Royer, J.-F. (MeteoFrance - France): TBD

1430-1500   Sporyshev, P. V., V. P. Meleshko and T. V. Pavlova (Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory - Russia): Simulation of the Second Half of the 20th Century Using the MGO AGCM

1500-1530   Jin, K. and I.-S. Kang (Seoul National University - Korea): Changes of Seasonal Predictability Associated with Global Warming

Break

SESSION 2: C20C SST-Forced Variability   (Chair: Sporyshev)

1600-1630   Hodson, D., R. Sutton (University of Reading - U.K.) and J. Syktus (Department of Natural Resources - Australia): The Influence of the Ocean on the North Atlantic Climate Variability 1871-1903 in C20C Simulations with CSIRO AGCM

1630-1730   Discussion

1800-2000   Reception

 

THIRD C20C WORKSHOP AGENDA

Tuesday, 20 April 2004

SESSION 2 (continued): C20C SST-Forced Variability   (Chair: Sporyshev)

0900-0930   Scaife, A. and C. Folland (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): Low Frequency Variability in the Winter NAO and its Reproduction in GCMs

0930-1000   Hurrell, J. (National Center for Atmospheric Research - USA) and C. Folland (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): Northwest European High Summer Climate Variability, the West African Monsoon and the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation

1000-1030   Kucharski, F., A. Bracco and F. Molteni (International Centre for Theoretical Physics - Italy): Interdecadal Variability and Trends in the ICTP C20C Simulations

Break

SESSION 2 (continued): C20C SST-Forced Variability   (Chair: Nozawa)

1100-1130   Kusunoki, S., K. Matsumaru, T. Nakaegawa, I. Yagai and O. Arakawa (Meteorological Research Institute - Japan): Trend and Year-to-year Variability of Land-Surface Air Temperature and Land-only Precipitation Simulated by the JMA AGCM

1130-1200   (not given) Schubert, S., M. Suarez , P. Pegion, R. Koster and J. Bacmeister (NASA Goddard Space Flight Center - USA): Mechanisms of Long-Term Drought in the Great Plains

1130-1200 (substitute) Knight, J. (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): The Venzke et al. Optimal Detection Analysis

1200-1400   Lunch

SESSION 3: Diagnostic Tools For Assessing Climate Variability (Chair: Scaife)

1400-1430 Marx, L. and J. Kinter (Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies - USA): Assessing Extreme Event Estimation in the COLA Climate of the Twentieth Century (C20C) Simulations Using L-Moments

1430-1500   Ansell, T., R. Allan, D. Parker, N. Rayner, P. Brohan (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.), D. Lister and P. Jones (University of East Anglia - U.K.): Development of a Daily Gridded MSLP Data Set over the North Atlantic - European Region from 1850-2003

1500-1530   Frederiksen, C. S. and X. Zheng (Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre - Australia): Variability of Seasonal-mean Fields Arising from Intraseasonal Variability

Break

SESSION 4: C20C Responses to Other Forcing   - (Chair: Jin)

1600-1630   Knight, J. (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): Climate Forcings for C20C: What Do We Include and What Should We Include?

1630-1700 Nozawa, T., T. Nagashima, T. Yokohata (National Institute for Environmental Studies - Japan), T. Takemura (Kyushu University - Japan), S. Emori (Frontier Research System for Global Change - Japan) and M. Kimoto (University of Tokyo - Japan): Climate Simulations on the 20th Century with Various Forcings

Discussion

 

THIRD C20C WORKSHOP AGENDA

Wednesday, 21 April 2004

SESSION 4 (continued): C20C Responses to Other Forcing   - (Chair: Kirtman)

0900-0920   Lawrence, P. (University of Colorado - USA), J. Syktus (Department of Natural Resources - Australia), C. McAlpine (University of Queensland - Australia) and S. Crimp (Department of Natural Resources- Australia): Climate Impacts of Australian Land Cover Change

0920-0940   Syktus, J. (Department of Natural Resources - Australia) and K. Walsh ( University of Melbourne - Australia): The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and CO2 on Tropical Cyclone Behavior and Surface Climate in the Australian Region

0940-1000 Syktus, J. (Department of Natural Resources - Australia), I. Smith (CSIRO, Australia), G. McKeon (Department of Natural Resources, Mines and Energy), M. Dix (CSIRO) and W. Cai (CSIRO) - The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Depletion and CO2 on AAO Trends and Regional Climate Change at Surface of Southern Hemisphere

Break and Workshop Photograph

SESSION 5: C20C in a Coupled Modeling Framework   - (Chair: Fredericksen)

1100-1130   Knight, J., R. Allan, C. Folland, and M. Vellinga (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation: a Signature of Persistent Natural Thermohaline Circulation Cycles in Observed Climate

1130-1200   Kirtman, B. P. (George Mason University and Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies - USA): Summer Monsoon-Global SST Teleconnections

1200-1400 Lunch

SESSION 5 (continued): C20C in a Coupled Modeling Framework   - (Chair: Fredericksen)

1400-1430 Schneider, E. K.   (George Mason University and Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies - USA): Extending the Diagnosis of the Climate of the 20th Century to Coupled GCMs

1430-1500    Kitoh, A. (Meteorological Research Institute - Japan): 20th Century Simulations by a Coupled GCM and an Atmospheric-only GCM at MRI

Short talks:

Folland, C. (Hadley Centre, Met Office - U.K.): Bias Adjustments to Historical Sea Surface Temperature

Dash, S. K. (IIT-Delhi, India): Some Evidences of Climate Changes in India which may be Used for Model Verifications

Bracco, A., F. Kucharski and F. Molteni (ICTP, Italy): Multidecadal Simulations of the Indian Monsoon in SPEEDY-AGCM and in a Coupled Model

Halenka, T. (Charles University, Czech Republic): On the Modelling and Diagnostics of Solar Activity Effects in the Atmosphere Project SOLICE

1700-1800   Diagnostics discussion - key time series, partly for offering to IPCC 4th Assessment. Led by Chris Folland

1930-2200   Workshop Dinner

THIRD C20C WORKSHOP AGENDA 

Thursday, 22 April 2004