Contents

Purpose and Editorial Policy

Summary of Forecasts

Forecast of probabilities of December-January-February 2012 precipitation in Rio Grande do Sul and Northern Uruguay using the NOAA CFS v2 and a statistical downscaling technique.

- contributed by Gabriel Cazes Boezio.

2011/12 Tropical Cyclone Season Forecast for the Australian Region Using a New Bayesian Regression Model - contributed by Angelika Werner and Neil J. Holbrook