The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX) is a NOAA/Climate Testbed project focused on subseasonal predictability and predictions. Six global models are producing seventeen years of ensemble retrospecive forecasts initialized weekly to investigate subseasonal prediction and predictability. Additionally, one-year of real-time predictions will be produced and provided to the NOAA/NWS Climate Prediction Center as additional guidance for their week-3/4 outlooks. The project will test the skill of individual prediction systems as well as multi-model combinations.
The Objectives of the SubX Project are:
Collecting and serving data both internally at CPC for use by operational forecasters and for the external community via the IRI data library
Providing a baseline verification particularly for the weeks 3-4 temperature and precipitation probability forecasts
Evaluating the skill of individual model systems
Investigating multi-model combinations including selecting suitable models, optimizing the design of the system, and evaluation of the prediction products
Enhancing communications between operational forecasts and the model forecast producers