Publications

@article{He_2022,

title = {Learning and Dynamical Models for Sub-seasonal Climate Forecasting: Comparison and Collaboration},

author = {Sijie He and Xinyan Li and Laurie Trenary and Benjamin A Cash and Timothy DelSole and Arindam Banerjee},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1609/aaai.v36i4.20372},

doi = {10.1609/aaai.v36i4.20372},

issn = {2159-5399},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-06-01},

journal = {Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence},

volume = {36},

number = {4},

pages = {4495–4503},

publisher = {Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2022b,

title = {Comparing climate time series – Part 3: Discriminant analysis},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-8-97-2022},

doi = {10.5194/ascmo-8-97-2022},

issn = {2364-3587},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-05-01},

journal = {Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography},

volume = {8},

pages = {97–115},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hsu_2022,

title = {Deconstructing the soil moisture-latent heat flux relationship: the range of coupling regimes experienced and the presence of nonlinearity within the sensitive regime},

author = {Hsin Hsu and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-21-0224.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-21-0224.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-04-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Coelho_2022b,

title = {Potential Impacts of Future Extreme Precipitation Changes on Flood Engineering Design Across the Contiguous United States},

author = {Gustavo de A. Coelho and Celso M. Ferreira and Jeremy Johnston and James L. Kinter and Ishrat J. Dollan and Viviana Maggioni},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021wr031432},

doi = {10.1029/2021wr031432},

issn = {1944-7973},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-04-01},

journal = {Water Resources Research},

volume = {58},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Jackson_2022,

title = {The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980},

author = {Laura C. Jackson and Arne Biastoch and Martha W. Buckley and Damien G. Desbruyères and Eleanor Frajka-Williams and Ben Moat and Jon Robson},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2},

doi = {10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2},

issn = {2662-138X},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-03-01},

journal = {Nature Reviews Earth & Environment},

volume = {3},

number = {4},

pages = {241–254},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Becker_2022,

title = {A Decade of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME): Research, Application, and Future Directions},

author = {Emily J. Becker and Ben P. Kirtman and Michelle L’Heureux and Ángel G. Muñoz and Kathy Pegion},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0327.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-20-0327.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-03-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {103},

pages = {E973–E995},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Schumacher_2022,

title = {Drought self-propagation in drylands due to land–atmosphere feedbacks},

author = {Dominik L. Schumacher and Jessica Keune and Paul Dirmeyer and Diego G. Miralles},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00912-7},

doi = {10.1038/s41561-022-00912-7},

issn = {1752-0908},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-03-01},

journal = {Nature Geoscience},

volume = {15},

number = {4},

pages = {262–268},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Stan_2022,

title = {The Forecast Skill of the Northern Hemisphere Middle Latitudes Seasonal Oscillation and Its Impact on the Surface Air Temperature},

author = {Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021gl095543},

doi = {10.1029/2021gl095543},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-02-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {49},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Trenary_2022,

title = {Advancing interpretability of machine-learning prediction models},

author = {Laurie Trenary and Timothy DelSole},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/eds.2022.13},

doi = {10.1017/eds.2022.13},

issn = {2634-4602},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Environmental Data Science},

volume = {1},

publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Turner_2022,

title = {Seasonality in the relationship between equatorial-mean heat content and interannual eastern equatorial Atlantic sea surface temperature variability},

author = {Kyle J. Turner and Natalie J. Burls and Anna Brandis and Joke Lübbecke and Martin Claus},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06116-w},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-06116-w},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {59},

number = {1–2},

pages = {61–75},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Seo_2022,

title = {Improving the ESA CCI daily soil moisture time series with physically-based land surface model datasets using a Fourier time-filtering method},

author = {Eunkyo Seo and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-21-0120.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-21-0120.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Krishnamurthy_2022,

title = {Prediction of extreme events in precipitation and temperature over CONUS during boreal summer in the UFS coupled model},

author = {V. Krishnamurthy and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06120-0},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-06120-0},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {59},

number = {1–2},

pages = {109–125},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Dirmeyer2022,

title = {Evolution of land surface feedbacks on extreme heat: Adapting existing coupling metrics to a changing climate},

author = {P. A. Dirmeyer and R. S. Sridhar Mantripragada and B. A. Gay and D. K. D. Klein},

doi = {10.3389/fenvs.2022.949250},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Frontiers in Environmental Science},

volume = {10},

pages = {949250},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Li_2022,

title = {Oceanic meridional transports and their roles in warm water volume variability and ENSO in the tropical Pacific},

author = {Xiaofan Li and Zeng-Zhen Hu and Bohua Huang and Fei-Fei Jin},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06124-w},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-06124-w},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-01-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {59},

number = {1–2},

pages = {245–261},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Khalid_2021,

title = {Evaluating storm surge predictability on subseasonal timescales for flood forecasting applications: A case study for Hurricane Isabel and Katrina},

author = {Arslaan Khalid and Tyler Miesse and Ehsan Erfani and Sam Thomas and Celso Ferreira and Kathy Pegion and Natalie Burls and Julia Manganello},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100378},

doi = {10.1016/j.wace.2021.100378},

issn = {2212-0947},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-12-01},

journal = {Weather and Climate Extremes},

volume = {34},

pages = {100378},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Han_2021,

title = {Evaluating the large-scale hydrological cycle response within the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project Phase 2 (PlioMIP2) ensemble},

author = {Zixuan Han and Qiong Zhang and Qiang Li and Ran Feng and Alan M. Haywood and Julia C. Tindall and Stephen J. Hunter and Bette L. Otto-Bliesner and Esther C. Brady and Nan Rosenbloom and Zhongshi Zhang and Xiangyu Li and Chuncheng Guo and Kerim H. Nisancioglu and Christian Stepanek and Gerrit Lohmann and Linda E. Sohl and Mark A. Chandler and Ning Tan and Gilles Ramstein and Michiel L. J. Baatsen and Anna S. Heydt and Deepak Chandan and W. Richard Peltier and Charles J. R. Williams and Daniel J. Lunt and Jianbo Cheng and Qin Wen and Natalie J. Burls},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-17-2537-2021},

doi = {10.5194/cp-17-2537-2021},

issn = {1814-9332},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-12-01},

journal = {Climate of the Past},

volume = {17},

number = {6},

pages = {2537–2558},

publisher = {Copernicus GmbH},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Gaal_2021,

title = {Soil Moisture Influence on the Incidence of Summer Mesoscale Convective Systems in the U.S. Great Plains},

author = {Rachel Gaal and James L. Kinter III},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-21-0140.1},

doi = {10.1175/mwr-d-21-0140.1},

issn = {1520-0493},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-12-01},

journal = {Monthly Weather Review},

volume = {149},

number = {12},

pages = {3981–3994},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2021b,

title = {Comparing climate time series – Part 2: A multivariate test},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-7-73-2021},

doi = {10.5194/ascmo-7-73-2021},

issn = {2364-3587},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-12-01},

journal = {Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography},

volume = {7},

pages = {73–85},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Manganello_2021,

title = {Modulation of mid-Atlantic tropical cyclone landfalls by the Madden-Julian Oscillation},

author = {Julia V. Manganello and James L. Kinter},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100387},

doi = {10.1016/j.wace.2021.100387},

issn = {2212-0947},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-12-01},

journal = {Weather and Climate Extremes},

volume = {34},

pages = {100387},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Fahad_2021,

title = {The influence of direct radiative forcing versus indirect sea surface temperature warming on southern hemisphere subtropical anticyclones under global warming},

author = {Abdullah A. Fahad and Natalie J. Burls},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-06006-1},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-06006-1},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-10-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {58},

number = {9–10},

pages = {2333–2350},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Simon_2021,

title = {Semi‐Coupling of a Field‐Scale Resolving Land‐Surface Model and WRF‐LES to Investigate the Influence of Land‐Surface Heterogeneity on Cloud Development},

author = {Jason S. Simon and Andrew D. Bragg and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Nathaniel W. Chaney},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021ms002602},

doi = {10.1029/2021ms002602},

issn = {1942-2466},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-10-01},

journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},

volume = {13},

number = {10},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shankle_2021,

title = {Pliocene decoupling of equatorial Pacific temperature and pH gradients},

author = {Madison G. Shankle and Natalie J. Burls and Alexey V. Fedorov and Matthew D. Thomas and Wei Liu and Donald E. Penman and Heather L. Ford and Peter H. Jacobs and Noah J. Planavsky and Pincelli M. Hull},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03884-7},

doi = {10.1038/s41586-021-03884-7},

issn = {1476-4687},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-10-01},

journal = {Nature},

volume = {598},

number = {7881},

pages = {457–461},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2021,

title = {A mutual information criterion with applications to canonical correlation analysis and graphical models},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/sta4.385},

doi = {10.1002/sta4.385},

issn = {2049-1573},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-09-01},

journal = {Stat},

volume = {10},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Buchmann_2021,

title = {Week 3–4 Prediction of Wintertime CONUS Temperature Using Machine Learning Techniques},

author = {Paul Buchmann and Timothy DelSole},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2021.697423},

doi = {10.3389/fclim.2021.697423},

issn = {2624-9553},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-08-01},

journal = {Frontiers in Climate},

volume = {3},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Risbey_2021,

title = {Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading},

author = {James S. Risbey and Dougal T. Squire and Amanda S. Black and Timothy DelSole and Chiara Lepore and Richard J. Matear and Didier P. Monselesan and Thomas S. Moore and Doug Richardson and Andrew Schepen and Michael K. Tippett and Carly R. Tozer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z},

doi = {10.1038/s41467-021-23771-z},

issn = {2041-1723},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-07-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

volume = {12},

number = {1},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Song_2021,

title = {Basinwide Connections of Upper-Ocean Temperature Variability in the Equatorial Indian Ocean},

author = {Ge Song and Bohua Huang and Rongcai Ren and Zeng-Zhen Hu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0419.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0419.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

number = {12},

pages = {4675–4692},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shukla_2021,

title = {Relationship between Prediction Skill of Surface Winds in Average of Weeks 1–4 and Interannual Variability over the Western Pacific and Indian Ocean},

author = {Ravi P. Shukla and J. L. Kinter},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-20-0181.1},

doi = {10.1175/waf-d-20-0181.1},

issn = {1520-0434},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-06-01},

journal = {Weather and Forecasting},

volume = {36},

number = {3},

pages = {941–955},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Long_2021,

title = {Seasonal Forecasting Skill of Sea‐Level Anomalies in a Multi‐Model Prediction Framework},

author = {Xiaoyu Long and Matthew J. Widlansky and Claire M. Spillman and Arun Kumar and Magdalena Balmaseda and Philip R. Thompson and Yoshimitsu Chikamoto and Grant A. Smith and Bohua Huang and Chul‐Su Shin and Mark A. Merrifield and William V. Sweet and Eric Leuliette and H. S. Annamalai and John J. Marra and Gary Mitchum},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020jc017060},

doi = {10.1029/2020jc017060},

issn = {2169-9291},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},

volume = {126},

number = {6},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2021c,

title = {Correcting the corrected AIC},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.spl.2021.109064},

doi = {10.1016/j.spl.2021.109064},

issn = {0167-7152},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-06-01},

journal = {Statistics & Probability Letters},

volume = {173},

pages = {109064},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lu_2021,

title = {Asian monsoon evolution linked to Pacific temperature gradients since the Late Miocene},

author = {Jiayi Lu and Huan Yang and Michael L. Griffiths and Natalie J. Burls and Guoqiao Xiao and Jilong Yang and Jessica K. Wang and Kathleen R. Johnson and Shucheng Xie},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2021.116882},

doi = {10.1016/j.epsl.2021.116882},

issn = {0012-821X},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-06-01},

journal = {Earth and Planetary Science Letters},

volume = {563},

pages = {116882},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Heede_2021,

title = {A stronger versus weaker Walker: understanding model differences in fast and slow tropical Pacific responses to global warming},

author = {Ulla K. Heede and Alexey V. Fedorov and Natalie J. Burls},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05818-5},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-05818-5},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {57},

number = {9–10},

pages = {2505–2522},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Krishnamurthy_2021,

title = {Sources of Subseasonal Predictability over CONUS during Boreal Summer},

author = {V. Krishnamurthy and Jessica Meixner and Lydia Stefanova and Jiande Wang and Denise Worthen and Shrinivas Moorthi and Bin Li and Travis Sluka and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0586.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0586.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

number = {9},

pages = {3273–3294},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Fahad_2021b,

title = {The Influence of South Pacific Convergence Zone Heating on the South Pacific Subtropical Anticyclone},

author = {Abdullah A. Fahad and Natalie J. Burls and Erik T. Swenson and David M. Straus},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0509.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0509.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

number = {10},

pages = {3787–3798},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Duan_2021,

title = {Evaluation of Long‐Term Temperature Trend and Variability in CMIP6 Multimodel Ensemble},

author = {Yanan Duan and Sanjiv Kumar and James L. Kinter},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021gl093227},

doi = {10.1029/2021gl093227},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {48},

number = {10},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Burls_2021,

title = {Simulating Miocene Warmth: Insights From an Opportunistic Multi‐Model Ensemble (MioMIP1)},

author = {N. J. Burls and C. D. Bradshaw and A. M. De Boer and N. Herold and M. Huber and M. Pound and Y. Donnadieu and A. Farnsworth and A. Frigola and E. Gasson and A. S. Heydt and D. K. Hutchinson and G. Knorr and K. T. Lawrence and C. H. Lear and X. Li and G. Lohmann and D. J. Lunt and A. Marzocchi and M. Prange and C. A. Riihimaki and A. ‐C. Sarr and N. Siler and Z. Zhang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020pa004054},

doi = {10.1029/2020pa004054},

issn = {2572-4525},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology},

volume = {36},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Thomas_2021,

title = {Oceanic Pathways of an Active Pacific Meridional Overturning Circulation (PMOC)},

author = {M. D. Thomas and A. V. Fedorov and N. J. Burls and W. Liu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020gl091935},

doi = {10.1029/2020gl091935},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-05-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {48},

number = {10},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Steinthorsdottir_2021,

title = {The Miocene: The Future of the Past},

author = {M. Steinthorsdottir and H. K. Coxall and A. M. Boer and M. Huber and N. Barbolini and C. D. Bradshaw and N. J. Burls and S. J. Feakins and E. Gasson and J. Henderiks and A. E. Holbourn and S. Kiel and M. J. Kohn and G. Knorr and W. M. Kürschner and C. H. Lear and D. Liebrand and D. J. Lunt and T. Mörs and P. N. Pearson and M. J. Pound and H. Stoll and C. A. E. Strömberg},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020pa004037},

doi = {10.1029/2020pa004037},

issn = {2572-4525},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-04-01},

journal = {Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology},

volume = {36},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Abdolghafoorian_2021,

title = {Validating the Land-Atmosphere Coupling Behavior in Weather and Climate Models Using Observationally-Based Global Products},

author = {Abedeh Abdolghafoorian and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0183.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-20-0183.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-04-01},

urldate = {2021-04-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

volume = {22},

pages = {1507–1523},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Meehl_2021,

title = {Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales},

author = {Gerald A. Meehl and Jadwiga H. Richter and Haiyan Teng and Antonietta Capotondi and Kim Cobb and Francisco Doblas-Reyes and Markus G. Donat and Matthew H. England and John C. Fyfe and Weiqing Han and Hyemi Kim and Ben P. Kirtman and Yochanan Kushnir and Nicole S. Lovenduski and Michael E. Mann and William J. Merryfield and Veronica Nieves and Kathy Pegion and Nan Rosenbloom and Sara C. Sanchez and Adam A. Scaife and Doug Smith and Aneesh C. Subramanian and Lantao Sun and Diane Thompson and Caroline C. Ummenhofer and Shang-Ping Xie},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x},

doi = {10.1038/s43017-021-00155-x},

issn = {2662-138X},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-04-01},

journal = {Nature Reviews Earth & Environment},

volume = {2},

number = {5},

pages = {340–357},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Dirmeyer_2021,

title = {Land‐Atmosphere Interactions Exacerbated the Drought and Heatwave Over Northern Europe During Summer 2018},

author = {Paul A. Dirmeyer and Gianpaolo Balsamo and Eleanor M. Blyth and Ross Morrison and Hollie M. Cooper},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020av000283},

doi = {10.1029/2020av000283},

issn = {2576-604X},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-04-01},

journal = {AGU Advances},

volume = {2},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Kodama_2021,

title = {The Niño-3.4 Prediction Skill of Empirically Adjusted Wind Power},

author = {Keri Kodama and Natalie J. Burls and Laurie Trenary},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0045.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0045.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

number = {6},

pages = {2001–2015},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Benson_2021,

title = {Characterizing the Relationship between Temperature and Soil Moisture Extremes and Their Role in the Exacerbation of Heat Waves over the Contiguous United States},

author = {David O. Benson and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0440.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0440.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

pages = {2175–2187},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Fan_2021,

title = {Influence of the Pacific Meridional Mode on ENSO Evolution and Predictability: Asymmetric Modulation and Ocean Preconditioning},

author = {Hanjie Fan and Bohua Huang and Song Yang and Wenjie Dong},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0109.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0109.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {34},

number = {5},

pages = {1881–1901},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Ma_2021,

title = {Evolving AMOC multidecadal variability under different CO2 forcings},

author = {Xiaofan Ma and Wei Liu and Natalie J. Burls and Changlin Chen and Jun Cheng and Gang Huang and Xichen Li},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05730-y},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-05730-y},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-03-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {57},

number = {1–2},

pages = {593–610},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hsu_2021,

title = {Nonlinearity and Multivariate Dependencies in the Terrestrial Leg of Land‐Atmosphere Coupling},

author = {Hsin Hsu and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020wr028179},

doi = {10.1029/2020wr028179},

issn = {1944-7973},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-02-01},

journal = {Water Resources Research},

volume = {57},

number = {2},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Huang_2021b,

title = {The relative roles of decadal climate variations and changes in the ocean observing system on seasonal prediction skill of tropical Pacific SST},

author = {Bohua Huang and Chul-Su Shin and Arun Kumar and Michelle L’Heureux and Magdalena A. Balmaseda},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05630-1},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-05630-1},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-01-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {56},

number = {9–10},

pages = {3045–3063},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Huang_2021,

title = {The relative roles of decadal climate variations and changes in the ocean observing system on seasonal prediction skill of tropical Pacific SST},

author = {Bohua Huang and Chul-Su Shin and Arun Kumar and Michelle L’Heureux and Magdalena A. Balmaseda},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05630-1},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-05630-1},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-01-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {56},

number = {9–10},

pages = {3045–3063},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}