Publications

@article{Graziani_2021,

title = {Probabilistic recalibration of forecasts},

author = {Carlo Graziani and Robert Rosner and Jennifer M. Adams and Reason L. Machete},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.04.019},

doi = {10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.04.019},

issn = {0169-2070},

year  = {2021},

date = {2021-01-01},

journal = {International Journal of Forecasting},

volume = {37},

number = {1},

pages = {1–27},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Richter_2020,

title = {Subseasonal Prediction with and without a Well-Represented Stratosphere in CESM1},

author = {Jadwiga H. Richter and Kathy Pegion and Lantao Sun and Hyemi Kim and Julie M. Caron and Anne Glanville and Emerson LaJoie and Stephen Yeager and Who M. Kim and Ahmed Tawfik and Dan Collins},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-20-0029.1},

doi = {10.1175/waf-d-20-0029.1},

issn = {1520-0434},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-01},

journal = {Weather and Forecasting},

volume = {35},

number = {6},

pages = {2589–2602},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shin_2020,

title = {Sensitivity of U.S. Drought Prediction Skill to Land Initial States},

author = {Chul-Su Shin and Bohua Huang and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Subhadeep Halder and Arun Kumar},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0025.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-20-0025.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

volume = {21},

number = {12},

pages = {2793–2811},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Larson_2020,

title = {Do asymmetries in ENSO predictability arise from different recharged states?},

author = {Sarah M. Larson and Kathy Pegion},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05069-5},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-019-05069-5},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {54},

number = {3–4},

pages = {1507–1522},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2020c,

title = {Significance Statements Communicate Our Science More Widely},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Mingfang Ting},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0801.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0801.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

pages = {10405},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2020b,

title = {Data Availability Principles and Practice},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Mingfang Ting},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0767.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0767.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

pages = {9965},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Little_2020,

title = {Do Surface Temperature Indices Reflect Centennial‐Timescale Trends in Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Strength?},

author = {Christopher M. Little and Mengnan Zhao and Martha W. Buckley},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020gl090888},

doi = {10.1029/2020gl090888},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-11-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {47},

number = {22},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Tierney_2020,

title = {Past climates inform our future},

author = {Jessica E. Tierney and Christopher J. Poulsen and Isabel P. Montañez and Tripti Bhattacharya and Ran Feng and Heather L. Ford and Bärbel Hönisch and Gordon N. Inglis and Sierra V. Petersen and Navjit Sagoo and Clay R. Tabor and Kaustubh Thirumalai and Jiang Zhu and Natalie J. Burls and Gavin L. Foster and Yves Goddéris and Brian T. Huber and Linda C. Ivany and Sandra Kirtland Turner and Daniel J. Lunt and Jennifer C. McElwain and Benjamin J. W. Mills and Bette L. Otto-Bliesner and Andy Ridgwell and Yi Ge Zhang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.aay3701},

doi = {10.1126/science.aay3701},

issn = {1095-9203},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-11-01},

journal = {Science},

volume = {370},

number = {6517},

publisher = {American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Swenson_2020,

title = {Comment on “Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction: Improved Estimate of Predictability Limit” by Saha et al.},

author = {Erik T. Swenson and Debanjana Das and J. Shukla},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020jd033037},

doi = {10.1029/2020jd033037},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {21},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Inglis_2020,

title = {Global mean surface temperature and climate sensitivity of the early Eocene Climatic Optimum (EECO), Paleocene–Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), and latest Paleocene},

author = {Gordon N. Inglis and Fran Bragg and Natalie J. Burls and Marlow Julius Cramwinckel and David Evans and Gavin L. Foster and Matthew Huber and Daniel J. Lunt and Nicholas Siler and Sebastian Steinig and Jessica E. Tierney and Richard Wilkinson and Eleni Anagnostou and Agatha M. Boer and Tom Dunkley Jones and Kirsty M. Edgar and Christopher J. Hollis and David K. Hutchinson and Richard D. Pancost},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020},

doi = {10.5194/cp-16-1953-2020},

issn = {1814-9332},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

journal = {Climate of the Past},

volume = {16},

number = {5},

pages = {1953–1968},

publisher = {Copernicus GmbH},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Dong_2020,

title = {Soil Evaporation Stress Determines Soil Moisture‐Evapotranspiration Coupling Strength in Land Surface Modeling},

author = {Jianzhi Dong and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Fangni Lei and Martha C. Anderson and Thomas R. H. Holmes and Christopher Hain and Wade T. Crow},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020gl090391},

doi = {10.1029/2020gl090391},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {47},

number = {21},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2020,

title = {Comparing climate time series – Part 1: Univariate test},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-6-159-2020},

doi = {10.5194/ascmo-6-159-2020},

issn = {2364-3587},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

journal = {Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography},

volume = {6},

pages = {159–175},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lybarger_2020,

title = {MJO Wind Energy and Prediction of El Niño},

author = {Nicholas D. Lybarger and Chul‐Su Shin and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020jc016732},

doi = {10.1029/2020jc016732},

issn = {2169-9291},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-10-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},

volume = {125},

number = {10},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Merryfield_2020,

title = {Subseasonal to Decadal Prediction: Filling the Weather–Climate Gap},

author = {William J. Merryfield and Johanna Baehr and Lauriane Batté and Emily J. Becker and Amy H. Butler and Caio A. S. Coelho and Gokhan Danabasoglu and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes and Daniela I. V. Domeisen and Laura Ferranti and Tatiana Ilynia and Arun Kumar and Wolfgang A. Müller and Michel Rixen and Andrew W. Robertson and Doug M. Smith and Yuhei Takaya and Matthias Tuma and Frederic Vitart and Christopher J. White and Mariano S. Alvarez and Constantin Ardilouze and Hannah Attard and Cory Baggett and Magdalena A. Balmaseda and Asmerom F. Beraki and Partha S. Bhattacharjee and Roberto Bilbao and Felipe M. Andrade and Michael J. DeFlorio and Leandro B. Díaz and Muhammad Azhar Ehsan and Georgios Fragkoulidis and Sam Grainger and Benjamin W. Green and Momme C. Hell and Johnna M. Infanti and Katharina Isensee and Takahito Kataoka and Ben P. Kirtman and Nicholas P. Klingaman and June-Yi Lee and Kirsten Mayer and Roseanna McKay and Jennifer V. Mecking and Douglas E. Miller and Nele Neddermann and Ching Ho Justin Ng and Albert Ossó and Klaus Pankatz and Simon Peatman and Kathy Pegion and Judith Perlwitz and G. Cristina Recalde-Coronel and Annika Reintges and Christoph Renkl and Balakrishnan Solaraju-Murali and Aaron Spring and Cristiana Stan and Y. Qiang Sun and Carly R. Tozer and Nicolas Vigaud and Steven Woolnough and Stephen Yeager},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.a},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-19-0037.a},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-09-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {101},

number = {9},

pages = {767–770},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Li_2020b,

title = {On the Interdecadal Variation of the Warm Water Volume in the Tropical Pacific Around 1999/2000},

author = {Xiaofan Li and Zeng‐Zhen Hu and Bohua Huang and Fei‐Fei Jin},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020jd033306},

doi = {10.1029/2020jd033306},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {18},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shin_2020b,

title = {Impact of Land Initial States Uncertainty on Subseasonal Surface Air Temperature Prediction in CFSv2 Reforecasts},

author = {Chul-Su Shin and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Bohua Huang and Subhadeep Halder and Arun Kumar},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-20-0024.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-20-0024.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

volume = {21},

number = {9},

pages = {2101–2121},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Trenary_2020,

title = {Comparing Methods of Uncertainty Estimation in Optimal Fingerprinting},

author = {L. Trenary and T. DelSole and M. K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020gl088060},

doi = {10.1029/2020gl088060},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-08-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {47},

number = {15},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shukla_2020c,

title = {Corrigendum to “Sub-seasonal prediction of significant wave heights over the Western Pacific and Indian Oceans, Part II: The impact of ENSO and MJO” [Ocean Modelling 123 (2018) 1–15]},

author = {Ravi P. Shukla and James L. Kinter and Chul-Su Shin},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2020.101647},

doi = {10.1016/j.ocemod.2020.101647},

issn = {1463-5003},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-08-01},

journal = {Ocean Modelling},

volume = {152},

pages = {101647},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Dirmeyer_2020,

title = {A Technique for Seamless Forecast Construction and Validation from Weather to Monthly Time Scales},

author = {Paul A. Dirmeyer and Trent W. Ford},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/mwr-d-19-0076.1},

doi = {10.1175/mwr-d-19-0076.1},

issn = {1520-0493},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-08-01},

journal = {Monthly Weather Review},

volume = {148},

pages = {3589–3603},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Heede_2020,

title = {Time Scales and Mechanisms for the Tropical Pacific Response to Global Warming: A Tug of War between the Ocean Thermostat and Weaker Walker},

author = {Ulla K. Heede and Alexey V. Fedorov and Natalie J. Burls},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0690.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0690.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-07-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {14},

pages = {6101–6118},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Li_2020,

title = {Subannual to Interannual Variabilities of SST in the North Atlantic Ocean},

author = {Xiaofan Li and Zeng-Zhen Hu and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0556.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0556.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-07-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {13},

pages = {5547–5564},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Pegion_2020,

title = {Your 28-Day Weather Forecast},

author = {Kathy Pegion},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/scientificamerican0720-54},

doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0720-54},

issn = {1946-7087},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-07-01},

journal = {Scientific American},

volume = {323},

number = {1},

pages = {54-59},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wang_2020b,

title = {MJO Teleconnections over the PNA Region in Climate Models. Part II: Impacts of the MJO and Basic State},

author = {Jiabao Wang and Hyemi Kim and Daehyun Kim and Stephanie A. Henderson and Cristiana Stan and Eric D. Maloney},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0865.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0865.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {12},

pages = {5081–5101},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hu_2020,

title = {The Interdecadal Shift of ENSO Properties in 1999/2000: A Review},

author = {Zeng-Zhen Hu and Arun Kumar and Bohua Huang and Jieshun Zhu and Michelle L’Heureux and Michael J. McPhaden and Jin-Yi Yu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0316.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0316.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {11},

pages = {4441–4462},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Larson_2020b,

title = {Extracting the Buoyancy-Driven Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation},

author = {Sarah M. Larson and Martha W. Buckley and Amy C. Clement},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0590.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0590.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {11},

pages = {4697–4714},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Chen_2020b,

title = {Distinct Impacts of Land Use and Land Management on Summer Temperatures},

author = {Liang Chen and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/feart.2020.00245},

doi = {10.3389/feart.2020.00245},

issn = {2296-6463},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-06-01},

journal = {Frontiers in Earth Science},

volume = {8},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Becker_2020,

title = {Evolution of the North American Multi‐Model Ensemble},

author = {Emily Becker and Ben P. Kirtman and Kathy Pegion},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020gl087408},

doi = {10.1029/2020gl087408},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-05-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {47},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Fahad_2020,

title = {How will southern hemisphere subtropical anticyclones respond to global warming? Mechanisms and seasonality in CMIP5 and CMIP6 model projections},

author = {Abdullah al Fahad and Natalie J. Burls and Zachary Strasberg},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05290-7},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-020-05290-7},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-05-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {55},

number = {3–4},

pages = {703–718},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Mariotti_2020,

title = {Windows of Opportunity for Skillful Forecasts Subseasonal to Seasonal and Beyond},

author = {Annarita Mariotti and Cory Baggett and Elizabeth A. Barnes and Emily Becker and Amy Butler and Dan C. Collins and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Laura Ferranti and Nathaniel C. Johnson and Jeanine Jones and Ben P. Kirtman and Andrea L. Lang and Andrea Molod and Matthew Newman and Andrew W. Robertson and Siegfried Schubert and Duane E. Waliser and John Albers},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-18-0326.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-18-0326.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-05-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {101},

number = {5},

pages = {E608–E625},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Pegion_2020b,

title = {The impact of the extratropics on ENSO diversity and predictability},

author = {Kathy Pegion and Christopher M. Selman and Sarah Larson and Jason C. Furtado and Emily J. Becker},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05232-3},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-020-05232-3},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-04-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {54},

number = {9–10},

pages = {4469–4484},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shukla_2020,

title = {Cumulative Influence of Summer Subsurface Soil Temperature on North America Surface Temperature in the CFSv2},

author = {Ravi P. Shukla and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031899},

doi = {10.1029/2019jd031899},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-03-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {6},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wu_2020,

title = {Drought Demise Attribution Over CONUS},

author = {Jiexia Wu and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031255},

doi = {10.1029/2019jd031255},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Singh_2020,

title = {Tracking of Tropical Intraseasonal Convective Anomalies: 1. Seasonality of the Tropical Intraseasonal Oscillations},

author = {Bohar Singh and James L. Kinter},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019jd030873},

doi = {10.1029/2019jd030873},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {3},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wang_2020c,

title = {Improving prediction of two ENSO types using a multi-model ensemble based on stepwise pattern projection model},

author = {Lin Wang and Hong-Li Ren and Jieshun Zhu and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05160-2},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-020-05160-2},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {54},

number = {7–8},

pages = {3229–3243},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wang_2020,

title = {MJO Teleconnections over the PNA Region in Climate Models. Part I: Performance- and Process-Based Skill Metrics},

author = {Jiabao Wang and Hyemi Kim and Daehyun Kim and Stephanie A. Henderson and Cristiana Stan and Eric D. Maloney},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0253.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0253.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {33},

number = {3},

pages = {1051–1067},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shukla_2020b,

title = {Distinguishing Spread Among Ensemble Members Between Drought and Flood Indian Summer Monsoon Years in the Past 58 Years (1958–2015) Reforecasts},

author = {Ravi P. Shukla and Chul‐Su Shin},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019gl086586},

doi = {10.1029/2019gl086586},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {47},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lang_2020,

title = {Introduction to Special Collection: “Bridging Weather and Climate: Subseasonal‐to‐Seasonal (S2S) Prediction”},

author = {Andrea L. Lang and Kathleen Pegion and Elizabeth A. Barnes},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019jd031833},

doi = {10.1029/2019jd031833},

issn = {2169-8996},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-02-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},

volume = {125},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Chen_2020,

title = {Reconciling the disagreement between observed and simulated temperature responses to deforestation},

author = {Liang Chen and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-14017-0},

doi = {10.1038/s41467-019-14017-0},

issn = {2041-1723},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-01-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

volume = {11},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Sun_2020,

title = {Advanced cyberinfrastructure for intercomparison and validation of climate models},

author = {Ziheng Sun and Liping Di and Benjamin Cash and Juozas Gaigalas},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104559},

doi = {10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.104559},

issn = {1364-8152},

year  = {2020},

date = {2020-01-01},

journal = {Environmental Modelling & Software},

volume = {123},

pages = {104559},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lin_2019,

title = {Eastern Canada Flooding 2017 and its Subseasonal Predictions},

author = {Hai Lin and Ruping Mo and Frédéric Vitart and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2018.1547679},

doi = {10.1080/07055900.2018.1547679},

issn = {1480-9214},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-12-01},

journal = {Atmosphere-Ocean},

volume = {57},

number = {3},

pages = {195–207},

publisher = {Informa UK Limited},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Fang_2019,

title = {Seasonal predictability of the tropical Atlantic variability: northern tropical Atlantic pattern},

author = {Guangyang Fang and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4556-x},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-018-4556-x},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-12-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {52},

number = {11},

pages = {6909–6929},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lu_2019,

title = {Role of Atlantic air–sea interaction in modulating the effect of Tibetan Plateau heating on the upstream climate over Afro-Eurasia–Atlantic regions},

author = {Mengmeng Lu and Bohua Huang and Zhenning Li and Song Yang and Ziqian Wang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4595-3},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-018-4595-3},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-12-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {53},

number = {1–2},

pages = {509–519},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hu_2019,

title = {On the Challenge for ENSO Cycle Prediction: An Example from NCEP Climate Forecast System, Version 2},

author = {Zeng-Zhen Hu and Arun Kumar and Jieshun Zhu and Peitao Peng and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0285.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-18-0285.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {32},

number = {1},

pages = {183–194},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Huang_2019,

title = {Predictive Skill and Predictable Patterns of the U.S. Seasonal Precipitation in CFSv2 Reforecasts of 60 Years (1958–2017)},

author = {Bohua Huang and Chul-Su Shin and Arun Kumar},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-19-0230.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-19-0230.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-11-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {32},

number = {24},

pages = {8603–8637},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wei_2019,

title = {Sensitivity of land precipitation to surface evapotranspiration: a nonlocal perspective based on water vapor transport},

author = {Jiangfeng Wei and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019gl085613},

doi = {10.1029/2019gl085613},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-11-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {46},

number = {21},

pages = {12588–12597},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Swenson_2019b,

title = {The Role of Tropical Heating and Internal Variability in the California Response to the 2015/16 ENSO Event},

author = {Erik T. Swenson and David M. Straus and Chelsea E. Snide and Abdullah al Fahad},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jas-d-19-0064.1},

doi = {10.1175/jas-d-19-0064.1},

issn = {1520-0469},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-10-01},

journal = {Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences},

volume = {76},

number = {10},

pages = {3115–3128},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Pegion_2019,

title = {The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX): A Multimodel Subseasonal Prediction Experiment},

author = {Kathy Pegion and Ben P. Kirtman and Emily Becker and Dan C. Collins and Emerson LaJoie and Robert Burgman and Ray Bell and Timothy DelSole and Dughong Min and Yuejian Zhu and Wei Li and Eric Sinsky and Hong Guan and Jon Gottschalck and E. Joseph Metzger and Neil P Barton and Deepthi Achuthavarier and Jelena Marshak and Randal D. Koster and Hai Lin and Normand Gagnon and Michael Bell and Michael K. Tippett and Andrew W. Robertson and Shan Sun and Stanley G. Benjamin and Benjamin W. Green and Rainer Bleck and Hyemi Kim},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-18-0270.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-18-0270.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2019},

date = {2019-10-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {100},

number = {10},

pages = {2043–2060},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}