13-15th March 2007
Hadley Centre for Climate Change, Exeter, UK
Tuesday, 13 March 2007 | ||
08.30-09.00 | Arrival, check-in and refreshments | |
09:00-09:15 | Refreshments | |
09:15 | Convene | |
09:15-09:30 | Scaife, A./Knight, J./Ineson, S. - Welcome to the Hadley Centre | |
09:30-10:00 | Folland, C. / Kinter, J.- C20C: History, Status and Workshop Aims | |
10:00-10:20 | Coffee | |
Session 1: 20th Century AGCM simulations | ||
10:20-10:45 | Schubert, S., M. Saurez, P. Pegion, R. Koster and J. Bacmeister - The impact of SST and vegetation changes on long-term drought | |
10:45-11:10 | Nakaegawa, T. - Potential predictability of seasonal mean river discharge in dynamical ensemble prediction using MRI/JMA GCM | |
11:10-11:35 |
Kucharski, F., F. Molteni, A. Bracco, J. Kroeger, M. P. King, and J. H. Yoo - Results from the C20C Integrations at ICTP | |
Session 2: Pacemaker experiments and other simulation methods | ||
11:35-12:00 | Blade, I., M. Newman, M. Alexander and J. Scott - The Impact Of Ocean/Atmosphere Coupling on North Pacific Atmospheric Variability in a "Pacemaker" Experiment: Sensitivity to Convection in the Tropical Northwest Pacific | |
12:00-12:25 | Jin, E. and J. Kinter - The Evolution of the Lead-Lag ENSO-Indian Monsoon Relationship in GCM Experiments | |
12:25-13:25 | Lunch | |
13:25-13:50 | Cash, B., J. Kinter, and X. Rodo - Exploring Links Between Climate and Cholera in Bangladesh Using a Regionally Coupled Model | |
13:50-14:15 | Joly, M. - A New Approach to Reproduce 20th Century ENSO Variability in an OAGCM | |
14:15-14:40 | Schneider, E., and M. Fan - Simulating the Actual Climate of the 20th Century with a Coupled GCM | |
Session 3: Pacific variability and monsoons | ||
14:40-15:05 | Lau, G. - Interactions between the Responses of North American Climate to El Niño/La Niña and to Secular Warming Trend in the Indian-Western Pacific Oceans |
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15:05-15:30 | Dong, M. T. Wu, Z. Wang, and F. Zhang - The Madden-Julian Oscillation simulated by the Beijing Climate Center's AGCM | |
15:30-15:50 | Coffee | |
15:50-16:15 | Cherchi, A. and A. Navarra - Sensitivity of the Indo-Pacific Climate Variability to Different Forcing in XXth Century Simulations | |
16:15-16:40 | Zhou, T., and A. Dai - The 20th Century East Asian Summer Monsoon Simulated by Coupled Climate Models of IPCC AR4 | |
Session 4: Extra-tropical circulation variability | ||
16:40-17:05 | Fereday, D., J. Knight, A. Scaife, C. Folland and A. Philip - 20thC Multidecadal variability in North Atlantic-European circulation clusters | |
17:05-17:30 | Grainger, S., C. Frederiksen, X. Zheng and H. Zhang - Interannual Variability of Atmospheric Circulation in C20C Models | |
17:30-17:55 | Straus, D. and X. Zheng - Circulation Regimes and Regime Transition Probabilities in the COLA C20C Integrations: Dependence on The Slowly Varying Climate State and SST Forcing | |
18:00 | Close day 1 - Return to Exeter via coach |
Wednesday, 14 March 2007 | ||
08.30-09.00 | Arrival, check-in | |
Session 5: Observational data sets | ||
09:00-09:30 | Rayner, N. - Surface marine data development at the Hadley Centre | |
09:30-09:55 | Ingleby, B., and M. Palmer - Ocean Heat Content: Estimates and uncertainties 1950 - present | |
09:55-10:20 | Bronnimann, S., T. Griesser, T. Ewen, and A. Grant - A monthly, three-dimensional data set of the global atmosphere, 1870-2005 | |
10:20-10:40 | Coffee | |
Session 6: Atlantic variability and its links with the Pacific | ||
10:40-11:05 | Knight, J. - Evidence for the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as an internal climate mode from coupled GCM simulations. | |
11:05-11:30 | Folland, C., D. Fereday, H. Linderholm, J. Hurrell, S. Ineson, J. Knight, and A. Scaife - The Summer North Atlantic Oscillation (SNAO) since the 18th Century | |
11:30-11:55 | Huddleston, M. - Dynamically-Based Seasonal forecasts of Atlantic Tropical-storm Activity (mpeg movie of 2005 hurricanes) | |
11:55-12:20 | Ineson, S., and A. Scaife - ENSO-NAO interactions in an atmospheric model | |
12:20-13:15 | Lunch | |
Session 7: The role of the land surface in 20th century climate | ||
13:15-13:40 | de Noblet-Ducoudré, N. and A. Pitman - LUCID: Land-Use and Climate, IDentification of Robust Impacts | |
13:40-14:05 | Voldoire, A. - Impact of Land Use Changes on Extremes in the ARPEGE-Climat Model (LUCID Experiment) | |
14:05-14:30 | Betts, R. - The influence of land use changes on 20th century climate | |
14:30-14:55 | Davin, E., N. de Noblet-Ducoudré and P. Friedlingstein - Questioning the Relevance of the Radiative Forcing Concept for Anthropogenic Land-Cover Change Issues | |
14:55-15:20 | Davin, E., N. de Noblet-Ducoudré, C. Laguerre, P. Terray and E. Guilyardi - Perturbations of the El Niño Southern Oscillation Resulting from the Land-Use Induced Land-Cover Changes in the IPSL Climate Model | |
15:20-15:40 | Coffee | |
15:40 | Depart for visit to Dartmoor | |
18:30 | Workshop dinner at the Oxenham Arms, South Zeal, Dartmoor | |
22:45 | Return to Exeter |
Thursday, 15 March 2007 | ||
08:30-09:00 | Arrival, check-in | |
Session 8: Related Projects and the role of the Stratosphere | ||
09:00-09:30 | Xue, Y., W. Lau, and K. Cook - The West African Monsoon Modeling and Evaluation (WAMME) Project | |
09:30-09:55 | Scaife, A., J. Knight, C. Folland, A. Moberg, L. Alexander and S. Ineson - Influence of the stratosphere on decadal variability of surface winter climate | |
09:55-10:20 | Fischer, A., S. Brönniman, E. Rozanov, N. Zeltner, and S. Krähenmann - Stratospheric Chemical-Climate Variability During the 20th Century | |
10:20-10:50 | Kushner, P. - The SPARC Dynamics and Variability Project | |
10:50-11:10 | Coffee | |
11:10-11:20 | Introduction to the break-out sessions | |
11:20-12:20 | Break-out groups:
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12:20-13:10 | Lunch | |
13:10-13:20 | Workshop photo | |
13:20-14:20 | Break-out groups continued | |
14:20-15:20 | Open session on model intercomparisons - leader Fred Kucharski |
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15:20-15:40 | Coffee | |
15:40-16:40 |
Break out summaries and discussion (20 minutes each) | |
16:40-17:30 | Discussion, meeting summary, planning and actions | |
17:30 | Meeting close |