Publications

@article{Huang_2024,

title = {Diversity of strong negative Indian Ocean dipole events since 1980: characteristics and causes},

author = {Ke Huang and Bohua Huang and Dongxiao Wang and Xia Zhao and Lianyi Zhang and Zhanlin Liang and Ying Wu and Lei Yang and Weiqiang Wang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07008-x},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-023-07008-x},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-12-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {62},

number = {3},

pages = {2017–2040},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Orlova_2024,

title = {Beyond Ensemble Averages: Leveraging Climate Model Ensembles for Subseasonal Forecasting},

author = {Elena Orlova and Haokun Liu and Raphael Rossellini and Benjamin A. Cash and Rebecca Willett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-23-0103.1},

doi = {10.1175/aies-d-23-0103.1},

issn = {2769-7525},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-10-01},

journal = {Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems},

volume = {3},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Bach_2024,

title = {Improved subseasonal prediction of South Asian monsoon rainfall using data-driven forecasts of oscillatory modes},

author = {Eviatar Bach and V. Krishnamurthy and Safa Mote and Jagadish Shukla and A. Surjalal Sharma and Eugenia Kalnay and Michael Ghil},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2312573121},

doi = {10.1073/pnas.2312573121},

issn = {1091-6490},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-04-01},

urldate = {2024-04-01},

journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences},

volume = {121},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Woolnough_2024,

title = {Celebrating 10 Years of the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and Looking to the Future},

author = {S. J. Woolnough and F. Vitart and A. W. Robertson and C. A. S. Coelho and R. Lee and H. Lin and A. Kumar and C. Stan and M. Balmaseda and N. Caltabiano and M. Yamaguchi and H. Afargan-Gerstman and V. L. Boult and F. M. De Andrade and D. Büeler and A. Carreric and D. A. Campos Diaz and J. Day and J. Dorrington and M. Feldmann and J. C. Furtado and C. M. Grams and R. Koster and L. Hirons and V. S. Indasi and P. Jadhav and Y. Liu and P. Nying’uro and C. D. Roberts and E. Rouges and J. Ryu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-23-0323.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-23-0323.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-03-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {105},

number = {3},

pages = {E521–E526},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Gaal_2024,

title = {Identifying the Mechanism of Interaction Between Soil Moisture State and Summertime MCS Initiations In Weakly-Forced Synoptic Environments Using Convective-Permitting Simulations},

author = {Rachel Gaal and James L. Kinter III and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Bohar Singh},

url = {https://doi.org/10.13021/orc2020/Y2MYGB},

doi = {10.13021/orc2020/Y2MYGB},

year  = {2024},

date = {2024-01-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Atmosphereic},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hay_Chapman_2023,

title = {A Novel Method for Diagnosing Land–Atmosphere Coupling Sensitivity in a Single-Column Model},

author = {Finley M. Hay-Chapman and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-22-0237.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-22-0237.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

volume = {24},

number = {12},

pages = {2207–2223},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Buckley_2023,

title = {Buoyancy forcing and the subpolar Atlantic meridional overturning circulation},

author = {Martha W. Buckley and M. Susan Lozier and Damien Desbruyères and Dafydd Gwyn Evans},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2022.0181},

doi = {10.1098/rsta.2022.0181},

issn = {1471-2962},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-10-01},

journal = {Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences},

volume = {381},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Stan_2023,

title = {A Deep Learning Filter for the Intraseasonal Variability of the Tropics},

author = {Cristiana Stan and Rama Sesha Sridhar Mantripragada},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0079.1},

doi = {10.1175/aies-d-22-0079.1},

issn = {2769-7525},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-10-01},

journal = {Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems},

volume = {2},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Rubbelke_2023,

title = {Plio‐Pleistocene Southwest African Hydroclimate Modulated by Benguela and Indian Ocean Temperatures},

author = {Claire B. Rubbelke and Tripti Bhattacharya and Ran Feng and Natalie J. Burls and Scott Knapp and Erin L. McClymont},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023gl103003},

doi = {10.1029/2023gl103003},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-09-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {50},

number = {19},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2023,

title = {The most predictable component of a linear stochastic model},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2023.0129},

doi = {10.1098/rspa.2023.0129},

issn = {1471-2946},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-09-01},

journal = {Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences},

volume = {479},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Benson_2023,

title = {The Soil Moisture–Surface Flux Relationship as a Factor for Extreme Heat Predictability in Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasts},

author = {David O. Benson and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0447.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-22-0447.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {36},

pages = {6375–6392},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Cash_2023,

title = {Predictable and Unpredictable Components of Cape Town Winter Rainfall},

author = {Benjamin A. Cash and Natalie J. Burls and Laila V. Howar},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0593.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-22-0593.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-08-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {36},

pages = {5351–5362},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Cramwinckel_2023,

title = {Global and Zonal‐Mean Hydrological Response to Early Eocene Warmth},

author = {Marlow J. Cramwinckel and Natalie J. Burls and Abdullah A. Fahad and Scott Knapp and Christopher K. West and Tammo Reichgelt and David R. Greenwood and Wing‐Le Chan and Yannick Donnadieu and David K. Hutchinson and Agatha M. Boer and Jean‐Baptiste Ladant and Polina A. Morozova and Igor Niezgodzki and Gregor Knorr and Sebastian Steinig and Zhongshi Zhang and Jiang Zhu and Ran Feng and Daniel J. Lunt and Ayako Abe‐Ouchi and Gordon N. Inglis},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022pa004542},

doi = {10.1029/2022pa004542},

issn = {2572-4525},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-06-01},

journal = {Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology},

volume = {38},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Bai_2023,

title = {The Impact of Tropical SST Biases on the S2S Precipitation Forecast Skill over the Contiguous United States in the UFS Global Coupled Model},

author = {Hedanqiu Bai and Bin Li and Avichal Mehra and Jessica Meixner and Shrinivas Moorthi and Sulagna Ray and Lydia Stefanova and Jiande Wang and Jun Wang and Denise Worthen and Fanglin Yang and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-22-0162.1},

doi = {10.1175/waf-d-22-0162.1},

issn = {1520-0434},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-06-01},

journal = {Weather and Forecasting},

volume = {38},

pages = {937–952},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Cicerone_2023,

title = {Response of the Madden–Julian Oscillation and Tropical Atmosphere to Changes in Oceanic Mixed Layer Depth over the Indian Ocean},

author = {Teresa Cicerone and Timothy DelSole and Laurie Trenary and Ben Kirtman},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0788.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-21-0788.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-06-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {36},

pages = {4071–4086},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hsu_2023,

title = {Uncertainty in Projected Critical Soil Moisture Values in CMIP6 Affects the Interpretation of a More Moisture‐Limited World},

author = {Hsin Hsu and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2023ef003511},

doi = {10.1029/2023ef003511},

issn = {2328-4277},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-05-01},

journal = {Earth’s Future},

volume = {11},

number = {6},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Shin_2023,

title = {A Joint Approach Combining Correlation and Mutual Information to Study Land and Ocean Drivers of U.S. Droughts: Methodology},

author = {Chul-Su Shin and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Bohua Huang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0429.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-22-0429.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-05-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {36},

number = {9},

pages = {2795–2814},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Stan_2023b,

title = {The Impact of Tropical Pacific SST Biases on the S2S Forecast Skill over North America in the UFS Global Coupled Model},

author = {Cristiana Stan and V. Krishnamurthy and Hedanqiu Bai and Bin Li and Avichal Mehra and Jessica Meixner and Shrinivas Moorthi and Lydia Stefanova and Jiande Wang and Jun Wang and Denise Worthen and Fanglin Yang},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-22-0196.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-22-0196.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-04-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {36},

number = {8},

pages = {2439–2456},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Bayar_2023,

title = {CMIP6 Earth System Models Project Greater Acceleration of Climate Zone Change Due To Stronger Warming Rates},

author = {Ali Serkan Bayar and M. Tuğrul Yılmaz and İsmail Yücel and Paul Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022ef002972},

doi = {10.1029/2022ef002972},

issn = {2328-4277},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-04-01},

journal = {Earth’s Future},

volume = {11},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Huang_2023,

title = {Meridional‐Width Variability of Near‐Equatorial Zonal Currents Along 80.5°E on Seasonal to Interannual Timescales in the Indian Ocean},

author = {Ke Huang and Dongxiao Wang and Yun Qiu and Ying Wu and Kexiu Liu and Bohua Huang and Dandan Sui},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022jc019147},

doi = {10.1029/2022jc019147},

issn = {2169-9291},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-03-01},

journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans},

volume = {128},

number = {3},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hsu_2023b,

title = {Soil moisture-evaporation coupling shifts into new gears under increasing CO2},

author = {Hsin Hsu and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36794-5},

doi = {10.1038/s41467-023-36794-5},

issn = {2041-1723},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-03-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

volume = {14},

number = {1},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Tibbett_2023,

title = {Proxy‐Model Comparison for the Eocene‐Oligocene Transition in Southern High Latitudes},

author = {Emily J. Tibbett and Natalie J. Burls and David K. Hutchinson and Sarah J. Feakins},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022pa004496},

doi = {10.1029/2022pa004496},

issn = {2572-4525},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-02-01},

journal = {Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology},

volume = {38},

number = {2},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Yin_2023,

title = {Daytime-only mean data enhance understanding of land–atmosphere coupling},

author = {Zun Yin and Kirsten L. Findell and Paul Dirmeyer and Elena Shevliakova and Sergey Malyshev and Khaled Ghannam and Nina Raoult and Zhihong Tan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-861-2023},

doi = {10.5194/hess-27-861-2023},

issn = {1607-7938},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-02-01},

journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},

volume = {27},

number = {4},

pages = {861–872},

publisher = {Copernicus GmbH},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Stephens_2023,

title = {The First 30 Years of GEWEX},

author = {Graeme Stephens and Jan Polcher and Xubin Zeng and Peter Oevelen and Germán Poveda and Michael Bosilovich and Myoung-Hwan Ahn and Gianpaolo Balsamo and Qingyun Duan and Gabriele Hegerl and Christian Jakob and Benjamin Lamptey and Ruby Leung and Maria Piles and Zhongbo Su and Paul Dirmeyer and Kirsten L. Findell and Anne Verhoef and Michael Ek and Tristan L’Ecuyer and Rémy Roca and Ali Nazemi and Francina Dominguez and Daniel Klocke and Sandrine Bony},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-22-0061.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-22-0061.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-01-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {104},

number = {1},

pages = {E126–E157},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Trenary_2023,

title = {Skillful statistical prediction of subseasonal temperature by training on dynamical model data},

author = {Laurie Trenary and Timothy DelSole},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/eds.2023.2},

doi = {10.1017/eds.2023.2},

issn = {2634-4602},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-01-01},

journal = {Environmental Data Science},

volume = {2},

publisher = {Cambridge University Press (CUP)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Lydeen_2023,

title = {Tuning Earth System Models: A Benchmark Algorithm},

author = {Nikki Lydeen and Timothy DelSole},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-01-01},

journal = {Journal of advances in modeling earth systems},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Davis_2023,

title = {Intermediate water circulation drives distribution of Pliocene Oxygen Minimum Zones},

author = {Catherine V. Davis and Elizabeth C. Sibert and Peter H. Jacobs and Natalie Burls and Pincelli M. Hull},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-35083-x},

doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-35083-x},

issn = {2041-1723},

year  = {2023},

date = {2023-01-01},

journal = {Nature Communications},

volume = {14},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Burls_2022,

title = {Increasingly Sophisticated Climate Models Need the Out‐Of‐Sample Tests Paleoclimates Provide},

author = {Natalie Burls and Navjit Sagoo},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022ms003389},

doi = {10.1029/2022ms003389},

issn = {1942-2466},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-12-01},

journal = {Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems},

volume = {14},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Knapp_2022,

title = {A Pliocene Precipitation Isotope Proxy‐Model Comparison Assessing the Hydrological Fingerprints of Sea Surface Temperature Gradients},

author = {Scott Knapp and Natalie J. Burls and Sylvia Dee and Ran Feng and Sarah J. Feakins and Tripti Bhattacharya},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2021pa004401},

doi = {10.1029/2021pa004401},

issn = {2572-4525},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-12-01},

journal = {Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology},

volume = {37},

number = {12},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Bhattacharya_2022,

title = {Expansion and Intensification of the North American Monsoon During the Pliocene},

author = {Tripti Bhattacharya and Ran Feng and Jessica E. Tierney and Claire Rubbelke and Natalie Burls and Scott Knapp and Minmin Fu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022av000757},

doi = {10.1029/2022av000757},

issn = {2576-604X},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-11-01},

journal = {AGU Advances},

volume = {3},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Abdolghafoorian_2022,

title = {Accounting for the Effect of Noise in Satellite Soil Moisture Data on Estimates of Land–Atmosphere Coupling Using Information Theoretical Metrics},

author = {Abedeh Abdolghafoorian and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jhm-d-21-0232.1},

doi = {10.1175/jhm-d-21-0232.1},

issn = {1525-7541},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrometeorology},

volume = {23},

pages = {1587–1605},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Dollan_2022,

title = {Seasonal variability of future extreme precipitation and associated trends across the Contiguous U.S.},

author = {Ishrat Jahan Dollan and Viviana Maggioni and Jeremy Johnston and Gustavo de A. Coelho and James L. Kinter},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.954892},

doi = {10.3389/fclim.2022.954892},

issn = {2624-9553},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Frontiers in Climate},

volume = {4},

publisher = {Frontiers Media SA},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Hill_2022,

title = {Symmetric and Antisymmetric Components of Polar-Amplified Warming},

author = {Spencer A. Hill and Natalie J. Burls and Alexey Fedorov and Timothy M. Merlis},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-20-0972.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-20-0972.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {35},

number = {20},

pages = {3157–3172},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Seo_2022b,

title = {Understanding the diurnal cycle of land–atmosphere interactions from flux site observations},

author = {Eunkyo Seo and Paul A. Dirmeyer},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-5411-2022},

doi = {10.5194/hess-26-5411-2022},

issn = {1607-7938},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},

volume = {26},

number = {20},

pages = {5411–5429},

publisher = {Copernicus GmbH},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Wang_2022,

title = {Seasonal‐Interannual Predictions of Summer Precipitation Over the Tibetan Plateau in North American Multimodel Ensemble},

author = {Lin Wang and Hong‐Li Ren and Xiangde Xu and Bohua Huang and Jie Wu and Jingpeng Liu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022gl100294},

doi = {10.1029/2022gl100294},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {49},

number = {19},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Pegion_2022,

title = {Understanding Predictability of Daily Southeast U.S. Precipitation Using Explainable Machine Learning},

author = {Kathy Pegion and Emily J. Becker and Ben P. Kirtman},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/aies-d-22-0011.1},

doi = {10.1175/aies-d-22-0011.1},

issn = {2769-7525},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-10-01},

journal = {Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems},

volume = {1},

number = {4},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2022c,

title = {Comparing climate time series – Part 4: Annual cycles},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Michael K. Tippett},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-8-187-2022},

doi = {10.5194/ascmo-8-187-2022},

issn = {2364-3587},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-09-01},

journal = {Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography},

volume = {8},

pages = {187–203},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Huang_2022,

title = {The Roles of Westward-Propagating Waves and the QBO in Limiting MJO Propagation},

author = {Kai Huang and Kathleen Pegion},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0691.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-21-0691.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {35},

number = {18},

pages = {6031–6049},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{de_Boer_2022,

title = {The Impact of Southern Ocean Topographic Barriers on the Ocean Circulation and the Overlying Atmosphere},

author = {Agatha M. Boer and David K. Hutchinson and Fabien Roquet and Louise C. Sime and Natalie J. Burls and Céline Heuzé},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-21-0896.1},

doi = {10.1175/jcli-d-21-0896.1},

issn = {1520-0442},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Climate},

volume = {35},

pages = {5805–5821},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Manthos_2022,

title = {The relationship between surface weather over North America and the Mid-Latitude Seasonal Oscillation},

author = {Zachary H. Manthos and Kathleen V. Pegion and Paul A. Dirmeyer and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101314},

doi = {10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2022.101314},

issn = {0377-0265},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-09-01},

journal = {Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans},

volume = {99},

pages = {101314},

publisher = {Elsevier BV},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Coelho_2022,

title = {Multiscale and multi event evaluation of short-range real-time flood forecasting in large metropolitan areas},

author = {Gustavo de A. Coelho and Celso M. Ferreira and James L. Kinter III},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128212},

doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128212},

issn = {0022-1694},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-09-01},

journal = {Journal of Hydrology},

volume = {612},

pages = {128212},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{DelSole_2022,

title = {Reconstructing the Atlantic Overturning Circulation Using Linear Machine Learning Techniques},

author = {Timothy DelSole and Douglas Nedza},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07055900.2021.1947181},

doi = {10.1080/07055900.2021.1947181},

issn = {1480-9214},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-08-01},

journal = {Atmosphere-Ocean},

volume = {60},

pages = {541–553},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Li_2022b,

title = {Bulk connectivity of global SST and land precipitation variations},

author = {Xiaofan Li and Zeng-Zhen Hu and Bohua Huang and Cristiana Stan},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05901-x},

doi = {10.1007/s00382-021-05901-x},

issn = {1432-0894},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-07-01},

journal = {Climate Dynamics},

volume = {58},

number = {1–2},

pages = {195–209},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Ford_2022,

title = {Sustained mid-Pliocene warmth led to deep water formation in the North Pacific},

author = {H. L. Ford and N. J. Burls and P. Jacobs and A. Jahn and R. P. Caballero-Gill and D. A. Hodell and A. V. Fedorov},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00978-3},

doi = {10.1038/s41561-022-00978-3},

issn = {1752-0908},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-07-01},

journal = {Nature Geoscience},

volume = {15},

number = {8},

pages = {658–663},

publisher = {Springer Science and Business Media LLC},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Zheng_2022,

title = {Severe Drought Conditions in Northern East Asia During the Early Pliocene Caused by Weakened Pacific Meridional Temperature Gradient},

author = {Yanhong Zheng and Alexey V. Fedorov and Natalie J. Burls and Rui Zhang and Chris M. Brierley and Zhengkun Fang and Xuefeng Yu and Feng Xian and Hongxuan Lu},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2022gl098813},

doi = {10.1029/2022gl098813},

issn = {1944-8007},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-07-01},

journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},

volume = {49},

number = {14},

publisher = {American Geophysical Union (AGU)},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}

@article{Stan_2022b,

title = {Advances in the Prediction of MJO Teleconnections in the S2S Forecast Systems},

author = {Cristiana Stan and Cheng Zheng and Edmund Kar-Man Chang and Daniela I. V. Domeisen and Chaim I. Garfinkel and Andrea M. Jenney and Hyemi Kim and Young-Kwon Lim and Hai Lin and Andrew Robertson and Chen Schwartz and Frederic Vitart and Jiabao Wang and Priyanka Yadav},

url = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-21-0130.1},

doi = {10.1175/bams-d-21-0130.1},

issn = {1520-0477},

year  = {2022},

date = {2022-06-01},

journal = {Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society},

volume = {103},

number = {6},

pages = {E1426–E1447},

publisher = {American Meteorological Society},

keywords = {},

pubstate = {published},

tppubtype = {article}

}