Objectives

This workshop will highlight the extensive research into seasonal and subseasonal climate prediction using data from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) and Subseasonal Experiment (SubX). Participant abstracts should focus on the forecast problem, and include evaluation of prediction data from Phase I or Phase II of NMME, or SubX. Abstracts can use retrospective and/or realtime forecasts. The goal of the workshop is to move forward on the subseasonal and seasonal climate prediction through interaction between research teams.

Themes

• Model representation of physical processes, including but not limited to: modes of climate variability such as the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) or North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and their teleconnections; trends; climate mean and variability.
• Subseasonal/seasonal prediction skill of regional or global climate, including extremes.
• Multi-model forecast consolidation, including weighting, bias correction, or calibration.

Format

The meeting will consist of keynote presentations and dedicated poster sessions. The poster sessions will be advertised with 2-slide "flash" talks.

Organizing Committee

Emily Becker, CPC/Innovim
Kathy Pegion, GMU/COLA
Ben Kirtman, U. Miami/RSMAS
Edmund Chang, Stony Brook University